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December 01, 2003
A Warning to Hyperion
I'm converting. ..taking the long hard slog up the curve of c# and MDX. I'm taking the Microsoft path more traveled, and going downscale to midmarket.
More opportunities. Decent tech. Harder work. More's possible.
In two years, me and people like me are going to be very dangerous to Hyperion's core business. Why? Because we'll have been operating at a level deeper than Hyperion is willing to open up their products. Our bailing wire and duct tape systems will be functionally equivalent to Hyperion’s shrink-wrapped stuff.
It'll be scary.
Check out these two:
Http://www.mdcbowen.org/cobb/archives/001147.html
Http://www.101-280.com/archives/000185.html
Large companies are outsourcing Essbase level coding to third parties and overseas. Architects and head DW designers are the only ones safe today, the tools around MSAS will evolve to the point at which one or two folks can do the whole custom project.
The question is whether or not the enterprise software sales business, with the high overhead of direct sales, can survive. Companies like HYSL will have to make huge deals with big companies and sell ubiquity on the inside. I don't think Hyperion will be big enough to do that in two years.
As I implied, cost of ownership isn't going to be a compelling argument to companies that outsource. So if Essbase supports MDX, it better lower the price. And if HFM and planning don't support .net, they better open up a very attractive API.
Essbase consultants are starving out there. The world hasn't learned the development methodology. The labor market of Essbase developers are hedging their bets. Almost everybody I know who was an Essbase head 3 years ago has added a second technology to their toolbelt.
Six months ago if you entered 'Essbase' into dice.com, you'd get 300 jobs. Today its 102.
Integration is a huge issue, that's why there is lots to fear from Yukon.
(also Floyd)
Posted by mbowen at December 1, 2003 08:00 AM
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